Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
BigMoneyBallz
0xf28b44013a3c8e2d9cd4e13faa31bc9071740d76
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.19
- Realized PnL
- $5.07
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $11.18
- Potential payout
- $12.16
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.18
N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $4.19
- Potential payout
- $6.35
- Potential profit
- $2.16
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.46
- Potential profit
- $3.46
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- User PnL
- -$2
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $1.81
- Potential payout
- $2.47
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 81% 2.47 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 87% 2.3 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 63% 3.17 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 63% 3.17 shares
- Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?Yes 82.3% 12.16 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes 58% 3.45 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 63% 15.87 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on May 31?Yes 0.9% 6.66 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 78% 3.24 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 62% 1.51 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 74% 2.66 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 2.2% 5.75 shares