Polymarket Trader

polwally4

0xf28ff4697bc86297e75460d27c35bb3b66090327

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.87K
Realized PnL: $317.12
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $475.62
Potential payout: $4.55K
Potential profit: $4.08K
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: $275.62

No position

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $52.57
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $31.41

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $588.62
Potential payout: $704.93
Potential profit: $116.31
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $88.62

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $510.14
Potential payout: $519.75
Potential profit: $9.62
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $10.14

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $294.12
Potential payout: $315.07
Potential profit: $20.95
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$5.88

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.14
Potential profit: $289.14
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $4.31
Potential payout: $287.36
Potential profit: $283.05
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$245.69

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $134.98
Potential payout: $259.57
Potential profit: $124.59
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$65.02

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $236.71
Potential payout: $253.16
Potential profit: $16.46
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $36.71

No position

Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $206.56
Potential payout: $218.59
Potential profit: $12.02
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $6.56

Yes position

Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $208.33
User PnL: -$100

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $133.33
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $33.33

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.55
Potential profit: $131.55
User PnL: -$78.49

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: Obama

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $102.48
Potential payout: $111.39
Potential profit: $8.91
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.48

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $52.08
Potential payout: $52.08
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.08

No position

Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $50.28
Potential payout: $50.61
Potential profit: $0.33
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $50.08
Potential payout: $50.56
Potential profit: $0.48
User PnL: $0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.45

No position

Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.27

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: November

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

No position

Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.24

No position

Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.48

No position

US forces in Venezuela by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.36

Yes position

Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.39

No position

Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.79

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.36

No position

Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.42

No position

Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.57

No position

Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.23

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.04

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38

No position

USDT depeg in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71

No position

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.54

Yes position

Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.96

No position

Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

No position

Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

No position

Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.17

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

No position

Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

No 92.3% 1,083.98 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 75% 133.33 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama

Nothing 89.8% 111.39 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?

Yes 50% 100 shares
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?

No 96% 52.08 shares
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?

No 92% 108.7 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 96.2% 519.75 shares
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 98.9% 50.56 shares
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 95.3% 104.9 shares
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 55.7% 179.45 shares
Will Frankenstein win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 99% 101.01 shares
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 96% 104.18 shares