No position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92
- Potential profit
- $92
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Polymarket Trader
adamstorm18
0xf290dd8d1cd49256be8fb11ce63164ea494e0d47
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $99.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63
- Potential profit
- $63
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $37
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
Will Azerbaijan come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $31
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.25
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.29
No position
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $1.88
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Yes position
Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Iran strike Afghanistan by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 9?No 94.9% 47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?Yes 4.1% 30 shares
- Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?Yes 96.8% 29 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No 3.8% 92 shares
- Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?Yes 8.1% 55 shares
- Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?Yes 96.8% 31 shares
- Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?Yes 6.6% 72 shares
- Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No 94.8% 31 shares
- Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?No 4.5% 73 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 93.1% 27 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No 98.6% 97 shares
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.8% 68 shares