Yes position
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $478.7
- Potential payout
- $73.65K
- Potential profit
- $73.17K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $36.82
Polymarket Trader
Kerguelen.
0xf294458cc49807bbf3ef58fa1ebcdcf5c184d8fd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.49K
- Realized PnL
- $7.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.72K
- Potential profit
- $32.72K
- User PnL
- -$331.9
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.53K
- Potential profit
- $5.53K
- User PnL
- -$42
No position
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.54K
- Potential profit
- $4.54K
- User PnL
- -$27
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.53K
- Potential profit
- $4.53K
- User PnL
- -$45.72
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.58K
- Potential profit
- $3.58K
- User PnL
- -$30
Warriors position
Clippers vs. Warriors
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.23K
- Potential profit
- $3.23K
- User PnL
- -$103.99
Spain position
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2.99K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$14.92
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- User PnL
- -$15.65
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- User PnL
- -$203.39
76ers position
76ers vs. Celtics
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.29K
- Potential profit
- $2.29K
- User PnL
- -$174.99
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.18K
- Potential profit
- $2.18K
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $2.16K
- User PnL
- -$7
FURIA fe position
Counter-Strike: FURIA fe vs pugdesonesto (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- User PnL
- -$25
Lightning position
Lightning vs. Wild
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- User PnL
- -$395.29
Panthers position
Panthers vs. Devils
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- User PnL
- -$285
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- User PnL
- -$8
Over position
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $590.93
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $28.06
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- User PnL
- -$4
Lakers position
Magic vs. Lakers
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- User PnL
- -$942.19
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$5
Wild position
Blues vs. Wild
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$343.32
Under position
Red Wings vs. Wild: O/U 6.5
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Over position
Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Under position
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $689.16
Stars position
Stars vs. Canucks
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $515.54
Under position
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430.56
Jets position
Blackhawks vs. Jets
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383.6
Under position
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.85
Islanders position
Panthers vs. Islanders
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $352.02
Flyers position
Flyers vs. Maple Leafs
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.43
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Hornets
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.54
Stars position
Predators vs. Stars
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.48
Ducks position
Flames vs. Ducks
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.45
Kings position
Kings vs. Grizzlies
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.91
Ducks position
Jets vs. Ducks
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.97
Sabres position
Golden Knights vs. Sabres
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.79
Thunder position
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.4
France position
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.28
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Lakers
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.11
Penguins position
Golden Knights vs. Penguins
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.33
Kansas Jayhawks position
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawks
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.87
Stars position
Stars vs. Flames
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.06
FOLHA AMARELA position
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs FOLHA AMARELA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffs
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.72
Red Wings position
Red Wings vs. Senators
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.93
Red Wings position
Red Wings vs. Predators
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.13
Avalanche position
Avalanche vs. Kings
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain 67% 1,492.54 shares
- Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain 67% 1,492.54 shares
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver 61.8% 1,618.99 shares
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver 99.9% 2,986.67 shares
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver 95.3% 124.44 shares
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver 97.9% 63.49 shares
- Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver 63% 3,174.6 shares
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Under 99.9% 1,428.02 shares
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Under 99.9% 733.74 shares
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Under 67% 44.12 shares
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Under 68% 2,205.88 shares
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver 55% 2,779.26 shares