Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $242.73
- Potential payout
- $3.17K
- Potential profit
- $2.93K
- Multiplier
- 13.07x
- User PnL
- $88.1
Polymarket Trader
0xf296...84f6
0xf2966813255fe67a9241cf4ff5ed9626af7b84f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $347.08
- Realized PnL
- $6.25K
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $104.35
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $928.83
- Multiplier
- 9.90x
- User PnL
- $52.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.81K
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $920.68
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $707.6
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.74
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $407.13
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.38
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $308.29
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $200.52
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $78.49
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.62
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$67
Yes position
Iran leadership change by March 13?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$67.04
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$79
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$103.81
Yes position
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$170
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$302.73
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$340.27
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$341.77
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$350.89
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$474
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$671.42
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$710.44
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$717.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran full airspace closure by June 30?Yes 4.9% 3,172.95 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?Yes 5% 1,033.18 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Alex Pereira 53% 2,780.45 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 97.6% 1,546.98 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 77.7% 1,546.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 82.9% 1,464.41 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 42.3% 2,426.85 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?Yes 29% 2,449.79 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes 38% 9,369.03 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes 50.9% 7,067.2 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes 55.6% 774.38 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes 6% 7,205.15 shares