Polymarket Trader

jiamikio

0xf2a310fde75ff661dabc37c4f3e4f2f127b621cd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.17
Realized PnL: $19.89
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $3.17
Potential payout: $3.18
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.85

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $1.41
User PnL: -$1.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.09

Pacers position

Hawks vs. Pacers

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.07

Yes position

Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Rangers position

Flames vs. Rangers

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

Stars position

Stars vs. Sabres

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Yes position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

Avalanche position

Wild vs. Avalanche

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

Hurricanes position

Hurricanes vs. Flyers

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Gen.G win First Stand 2026?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.4

No position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.34

Yes position

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 73% 3.18 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 76% 1.41 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Yes 58.3% 2.4 shares
Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?

No 65.1% 1.84 shares
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

No 69.1% 3.39 shares
Hurricanes vs. Flyers

Hurricanes 64% 1.88 shares
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Yes 57% 2.82 shares
Wild vs. Avalanche

Avalanche 65% 3.28 shares
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

No 52% 2.9 shares
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?

Yes 75% 2.98 shares
Stars vs. Sabres

Stars 52% 3.12 shares
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares