Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $183.43
- Potential payout
- $555.84
- Potential profit
- $372.41
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $3.44
Polymarket Trader
0xf2b3...47b6
0xf2b38a7c4ae40ccd6a22af3ed042321ad5af47b6
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $477.41
- Realized PnL
- $263.87
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $4.24
- Potential payout
- $212.02
- Potential profit
- $207.78
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.76
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.55
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$3.55
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $3.81
- Potential payout
- $99.04
- Potential profit
- $95.23
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$22.93
No position
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $29.22
- Potential payout
- $81.27
- Potential profit
- $52.06
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $50.93
- Potential payout
- $70.25
- Potential profit
- $19.32
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $12.18
No position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $61.29
- Potential payout
- $64.52
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $21.29
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $35.53
- Potential payout
- $50.4
- Potential profit
- $14.87
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $7.81
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $42.79
- Potential payout
- $46.26
- Potential profit
- $3.47
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $33.3
- Potential payout
- $40.87
- Potential profit
- $7.57
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.2%
- Current value
- $29.03
- Potential payout
- $35.34
- Potential profit
- $6.31
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $10.71
- Potential profit
- $8.61
- Multiplier
- 5.10x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $2.91
- Potential profit
- $2.83
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $2.74
- Potential profit
- $2.53
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $133.32
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $17.54
N
No position
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $14.08
No position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $7.89
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $4.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Down position
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Curaçao position
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Up position
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.1
No position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.11
No position
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 82.6% 35.34 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?Yes 15% 219.71 shares
- Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?No 78% 11.67 shares
- Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?No 81% 1.86 shares
- Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?No 81% 1.93 shares
- Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?No 78% 3.88 shares
- Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?No 69% 7.85 shares
- Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?No 84.6% 19.61 shares
- Ebola case in the US by June 30?Yes 2.4% 199.13 shares
- Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?No 84% 18.45 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?No 55% 50.4 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?Yes 32% 42.38 shares