Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $27.15
- Potential payout
- $3.19K
- Potential profit
- $3.17K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $1.6
Polymarket Trader
mightysignal
0xf2b6cdd08e25a1e5304214e9ff31b3de5370b4ce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $579.76
- Realized PnL
- $26.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $353
- Potential payout
- $449.69
- Potential profit
- $96.68
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $103
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $224.86
- Potential profit
- $224.86
- User PnL
- -$49.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209.64
- Potential profit
- $209.64
- User PnL
- -$110.43
Up position
XRP Up or Down - April 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209.45
- Potential profit
- $209.45
- User PnL
- -$108.63
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208
- Potential profit
- $208
- User PnL
- -$110.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207.98
- Potential profit
- $207.98
- User PnL
- -$110.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207.36
- Potential profit
- $207.36
- User PnL
- -$111.01
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $206
- Potential profit
- $206
- User PnL
- -$111.24
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.67
- Potential profit
- $204.67
- User PnL
- -$104.49
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.62
- Potential profit
- $204.62
- User PnL
- -$108.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204
- Potential profit
- $204
- User PnL
- -$110.16
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204
- Potential profit
- $204
- User PnL
- -$110.16
Up position
XRP Up or Down - April 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $203.99
- Potential profit
- $203.99
- User PnL
- -$110.12
Up position
XRP Up or Down - April 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $203.98
- Potential profit
- $203.98
- User PnL
- -$110.15
Up position
XRP Up or Down - April 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $203.97
- Potential profit
- $203.97
- User PnL
- -$110.14
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $203.96
- Potential profit
- $203.96
- User PnL
- -$110.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $203.92
- Potential profit
- $203.92
- User PnL
- -$110.12
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $202.96
- Potential profit
- $202.96
- User PnL
- -$102.49
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $202.18
- Potential profit
- $202.18
- User PnL
- -$102.1
Down position
XRP Up or Down - April 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $201.97
- Potential profit
- $201.97
- User PnL
- -$110.06
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.83
- Potential profit
- $200.83
- User PnL
- -$98.44
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$110
No position
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $199.6
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- User PnL
- $14.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.05K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $576.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $531.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $442.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $436.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $429.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $414.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $412.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $347.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 55.6% 449.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown 48% 5.21 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETUp 83.4% 55.78 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown 83% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETUp 63% 51.59 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETDown 84% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETDown 87% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETDown 87% 30 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETDown 83% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETDown 84% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETDown 80% 50.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETDown 82% 50 shares