Yes position
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0xf2Be9217eaa863fB1c9002c8237843071Fcb4f6E-1757409403733
0xf2be9217eaa863fb1c9002c8237843071fcb4f6e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.22
- Realized PnL
- $10.83
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- User PnL
- -$1
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Heat
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $1.21
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $1.19
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
GPT ads by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
TikTok sale announced by September 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Trump and Mamdani not shake hands on November 21 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?
Ends Sep 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 84% 1.19 shares
- Rockets vs. HeatRockets 56% 1.79 shares
- Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?No 97.3% 11.11 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 62% 1.92 shares
- Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?No 90% 8.89 shares
- Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?No 90% 1.11 shares
- Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?No 90% 1.11 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 83% 1.2 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No 85% 1.18 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No 92% 1.09 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 52% 1.92 shares
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes 0.4% 14.08 shares