Polymarket Trader

0xF2ca3e47a18fa209B86bE2f9742fC2D8E01558ad-1777899902147

0xf2ca3e47a18fa209b86be2f9742fc2d8e01558ad

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $28.86
Realized PnL: -$54.76
Win rate: 20%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94K
Potential profit: $2.94K
User PnL: -$2.94

Yes position

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.71K
Potential profit: $2.71K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.68K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will no listed leader be out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$3.05

No position

Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $28.86
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $23.14
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $9.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.94

No position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.51

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.75

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$23.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$34.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 41% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Yes 40% 50 shares
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 100 shares
Will Trump visit China by May 31?

No 0.5% 250 shares
Will Trump visit China by June 30?

No 0.3% 346.42 shares
Will Trump visit China by May 15?

No 0.8% 138.88 shares
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 0.1% 2,940 shares
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?

No 1.7% 117.65 shares
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 0.1% 3,000 shares
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 0.2% 1,684.62 shares
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 0.1% 3,000 shares
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 0.1% 3,000 shares