Polymarket Trader

Shponglezzz

0xf2ce20cce643de06175db434ce68ff1ccb507166

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $179.69
Realized PnL: $342.79
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $515.15
Potential profit: $515.15
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $105.43
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $111.96
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $5.43

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $12.07
Potential payout: $96.15
Potential profit: $84.09
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $2.07

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $6.44
Potential payout: $92.59
Potential profit: $86.16
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$3.56

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $8.53
Potential payout: $62.51
Potential profit: $53.98
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $11.55
Potential payout: $58.48
Potential profit: $46.93
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Japan?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $35.67
Potential payout: $54.88
Potential profit: $19.21
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$4.33

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Over position

Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$21.16

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.55
Potential profit: $17.55
User PnL: -$4.74

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $16.95
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.51
Potential profit: $14.51
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $12.82
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.35
Potential profit: $12.35
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.15

Yes position

Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.93

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.19

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $16.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.83

No position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.28

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $7.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.83

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: $5.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.88

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.77

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Yes 30% 66.67 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 46% 217.39 shares
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Senegal?

Yes 0.1% 41.84 shares
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Senegal?

Yes 23.9% 41.84 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.4% 192.3 shares
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

No 99.3% 50.63 shares
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Egypt?

Yes 76% 5.26 shares
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Egypt?

Yes 5.6% 88.09 shares
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Egypt?

Yes 11% 88.09 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.4% 96.15 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.8% 92.59 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Yes 6% 214.28 shares