Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86K
- Potential profit
- $17.86K
- User PnL
- -$53.59
Polymarket Trader
EFRVK104
0xf2dbf8b676bed66e46abfce754ca2d2d9c8a84ea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $447.57
- Realized PnL
- -$871.78
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.6%
- Current value
- $300.5
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $923.52
- Multiplier
- 4.07x
- User PnL
- $30.52
Yes position
Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $778.91
- Potential profit
- $778.91
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $749.71
- Potential profit
- $749.71
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $514.71
- Potential profit
- $514.71
- User PnL
- -$84.09
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Current value
- $46.56
- Potential payout
- $458.72
- Potential profit
- $412.16
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- -$3.44
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $323.82
- Potential profit
- $323.82
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $58.85
- Potential payout
- $310.56
- Potential profit
- $251.71
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- $8.85
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $41.67
- Potential payout
- $303.03
- Potential profit
- $261.36
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$8.33
Yes position
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $288.46
- Potential profit
- $288.46
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $254.03
- Potential profit
- $254.03
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $231.77
- Potential profit
- $231.77
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $212.49
- Potential profit
- $212.49
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.08
- Potential profit
- $196.08
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140.23
- Potential profit
- $140.23
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.64
- Potential profit
- $138.64
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Opalite by Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86
- Potential profit
- $86
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 40.5 on December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.39
- Potential profit
- $49.39
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365.5
Yes position
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.73
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.25
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.58
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.62
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$66.67
Yes position
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$390.45
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$801.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?Yes 22.1% 1,224.02 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes 9.9% 2,989.52 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes 13% 139.66 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 17,863.65 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes 42% 219.71 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes 42% 1.2 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes 41% 20.25 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes 36% 22.8 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes 31% 85.68 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes 25.6% 90.6 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.9% 458.72 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 310.56 shares