No position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $64.74
- Potential payout
- $83
- Potential profit
- $18.26
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $23.24
Polymarket Trader
0xf2de...0a07
0xf2deb442ba9de5b0e1438051df56c15657bd0a07
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $89.57
- Realized PnL
- -$27.6
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $35.93
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $2.42
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $19.58
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$3.52
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $13.84
- Multiplier
- 12.90x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $13.2
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.15
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.8
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $8.06
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $3.15
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.88
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $12.91
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.4
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Multiplier
- 6.73x
- User PnL
- -$13.64
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$23.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 15% 10 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 94.2% 7 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 38% 10 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 63% 15 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes 6.8% 15 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 76.9% 8 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 22% 5 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 82% 5 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 19% 9 shares
- Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No 70% 22 shares
- Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes 31% 27 shares
- Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 4.1% 37 shares