EasyProfit

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $1.94K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.07K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $315

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.9%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.92K
Multiplier: 9.22x
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 15.2%
Current value: $1.52K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.49K
Multiplier: 6.60x
User PnL: $625

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $505
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.5K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$355

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $1.39K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.62K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$345

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $765
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.24K
Multiplier: 13.07x
User PnL: $85

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $535
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.47K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $607.94
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $24.67

Yes position

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $533.66
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $87.33

Yes position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $822.85
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $891.42
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $9.36

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $576
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $129.01

Yes position

Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $193.58
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$40.35

Yes position

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $476.32
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $828.67
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$56.42

Yes position

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $855.83
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $308.57
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$23.94

Yes position

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $774.11
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $381.28
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $154.33

Yes position

Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $85.51
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $976.73
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: -$101.09

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $625.13
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $375.08
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $190.43

Yes position

Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $171.17
Potential payout: $834.98
Potential profit: $663.81
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$171.17

Yes position

Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $483.62
Potential payout: $826.71
Potential profit: $343.08
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$106.38

Yes position

Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $38.03
Potential payout: $510.53
Potential profit: $472.5
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: $7.4

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $32.5
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $467.49
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$67.5

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $246.7
Potential payout: $285.2
Potential profit: $38.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $48.7

Yes position

Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $230
User PnL: -$48.3

Yes position

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $174
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $26
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

No position

Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $621.46

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $549.46

Yes position

Pump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour?

Ends Jul 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $417.61

No position

Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $373.35

No position

Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.46

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $206.12

Yes position

Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $135.28

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.85

Yes position

Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $127.62

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.36

Yes position

Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $112.33

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $104.36

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102

Yes position

Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Usyk position

Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.17

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

No position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.49

Yes position

Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $84.27

Yes position

Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.48

No position

Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.91

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.12

Yes position

Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.55

No position

Space FDV above $60M one day after launch?