0xF2E880E2E91DDCB61f11B08f2994BF7cba02E187-1776249087912

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160.04
Potential profit: $160.04
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 57.8%
Current value: $66.73
Potential payout: $115.56
Potential profit: $48.82
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: $64.73

Laura Siegemund position

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Sara Bejlek vs Laura Siegemund

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $23.26
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $8.58
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $13.16
User PnL: -$5

Over 4.5 position

NBA Playoffs: Suns vs. Thunder Total Games O/U 4.5

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.96
Potential profit: $10.96
User PnL: -$5.92

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.76
Potential profit: $10.76
User PnL: -$4.86

Harriet Dart position

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Harriet Dart

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Miguel Damas position

Targu Mures: Miguel Damas vs Benjamin Hassan

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.9
Potential profit: $9.9
User PnL: -$5

Atlanta Braves position

Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $4.62
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$0

Hapoel Tel-Aviv position

Hapoel Tel-Aviv vs. Maccabi Tel-Aviv

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $8.77
User PnL: -$5

Vendula Valdmannova position

Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Vendula Valdmannova

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.2
Potential profit: $8.2
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.02
Potential profit: $4.02
User PnL: -$2.98

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.77
Potential profit: $3.77
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37
Potential profit: $1.37
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.81

Yes position

Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.35

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Houston Astros position

Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Muhammad/Stollar position

Lexus Eastbourne Open (Doubles): Muhammad/Stollar vs Christie/Silva

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Ciryl Gane position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Multiplier: 6.73x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during King Charles visit?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 28%
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.9

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.13

Yes position

Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 24-26 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.23

No position

Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.75

Yes position

Will Trump say "JD" or "Vance" during Fox interview on Wednesday?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.31

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on April 15?