Polymarket Trader

ladida33

0xf2e9b01baa81e5559c3ee1dfe00c5c0787a1cf93

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $34.95K
Realized PnL: $15.87K
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $16.85K
Potential payout: $18.62K
Potential profit: $1.77K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.07K

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $7.31K
Potential payout: $7.8K
Potential profit: $487.29
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $182.85

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $5.47K
Potential payout: $5.85K
Potential profit: $377.32
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $236.96

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $4.07K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $427.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $242.69

No position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $925
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $75
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $65

Yes position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $204.6
Potential payout: $660
Potential profit: $455.4
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$304.68

Yes position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$102

No position

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $117.83
Potential payout: $127.38
Potential profit: $9.55
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $17.3

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$31.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.01K

No position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.63K

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $552.27

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $382.4

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.88

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.85

Yes position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.86

Yes position

GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.19

No position

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $75.73

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.59

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.87

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$292.5

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$361.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 72% 140 shares
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score

Yes 51% 200 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 53% 200 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?

Yes 96.4% 68.01 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Yes 85% 900 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Yes 78% 350 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Yes 78% 3,000 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Yes 78% 3,000 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Yes 81% 350 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Yes 61% 198.11 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Yes 83% 500 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Yes 83% 500 shares