No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $207.55
- Potential payout
- $239.94
- Potential profit
- $32.39
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Polymarket Trader
cafed00d
0xf2ed2e36b9393bb342914321bd8d652c4e69de50
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $829.07
- Realized PnL
- -$72.85
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $186.6
- Potential payout
- $215.72
- Potential profit
- $29.12
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $159.91
- Potential payout
- $179.78
- Potential profit
- $19.87
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $146.09
- Potential payout
- $177.19
- Potential profit
- $31.1
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $18.64
- Potential payout
- $128.58
- Potential profit
- $109.94
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $46.19
- Potential payout
- $91.47
- Potential profit
- $45.28
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$8.52
No position
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $32.88
- Potential payout
- $42.7
- Potential profit
- $9.82
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $16.37
- Potential payout
- $28.97
- Potential profit
- $12.6
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
No position
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $11.99
- Potential payout
- $17.26
- Potential profit
- $5.27
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Max Holloway position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $4.28
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.28
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $22.52
Yes position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- $3.14
Yes position
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$5.07
Yes position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$39
Yes position
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$139
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 86% 14.34 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 85% 28.74 shares
- Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No 89.9% 37.32 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 82% 39.06 shares
- Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No 78% 19.71 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 87% 20.44 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?No 49% 26.91 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?No 77% 22.33 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?No 72% 24.62 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?No 72% 24.62 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 59% 17.1 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 88% 14.02 shares