Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.77K
- Potential profit
- $80.77K
- User PnL
- -$17.03K
Polymarket Trader
SmolDog
0xf2f2703d83938e05cba23c819891845d26f01762
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.95
- Realized PnL
- $63.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.65K
- Potential profit
- $79.65K
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.92K
- Potential profit
- $77.92K
- User PnL
- -$77.92
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.85K
- Potential profit
- $74.85K
- User PnL
- -$74.85
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.2K
- Potential profit
- $58.2K
- User PnL
- -$1.89K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.05K
- Potential profit
- $52.05K
- User PnL
- -$622.56
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.8K
- Potential profit
- $44.8K
- User PnL
- -$506.04
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.34K
- Potential profit
- $43.34K
- User PnL
- -$393.78
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.2K
- Potential profit
- $43.2K
- User PnL
- -$59.15
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.12K
- Potential profit
- $37.12K
- User PnL
- -$214.18
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.08K
- Potential profit
- $37.08K
- User PnL
- -$37.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.71K
- Potential profit
- $30.71K
- User PnL
- -$307.08
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.36K
- Potential profit
- $30.36K
- User PnL
- -$2.02K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.57K
- Potential profit
- $29.57K
- User PnL
- -$5.89K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.84K
- Potential profit
- $22.84K
- User PnL
- -$870.81
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.21K
- Potential profit
- $21.21K
- User PnL
- -$799.27
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.16K
- Potential profit
- $21.16K
- User PnL
- -$96.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.55K
- Potential profit
- $19.55K
- User PnL
- -$923.42
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $18.95
- Potential payout
- $18.95K
- Potential profit
- $18.93K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.31K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.86K
- Potential profit
- $18.86K
- User PnL
- -$18.86
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.1K
- Potential profit
- $18.1K
- User PnL
- -$1.22K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.47K
- Potential profit
- $17.47K
- User PnL
- -$590.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.88K
- Potential profit
- $14.88K
- User PnL
- -$4.87K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.64K
- Potential profit
- $14.64K
- User PnL
- -$713.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.87K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05K
Yes position
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91K
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $979.94
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $840.96
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $772.32
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $728.5
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $684.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $544.63
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $514.21
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $474.61
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.8% 20,000 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?No 99.9% 999.2 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?Yes 24% 738.55 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?Yes 33.3% 210.05 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?Yes 46% 1,090 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?Yes 46.7% 1,177 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?Yes 47.4% 1,793.4 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?Yes 41% 486.2 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?Yes 40% 50 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?No 40% 219.47 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?Yes 40% 225.85 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 93% 5,195 shares