Polymarket Trader

SebW

0xf2f2df41cd3ff33147e622869ac052ce5ad2d1f0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $319.42
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 4?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.78
Potential profit: $49.78
User PnL: -$2.49

Yes position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.98
Potential profit: $36.98
User PnL: -$2.59

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of June 15 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $23.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.36

No position

Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $20.21

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 23-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $19.37

No position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of June 8 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $17

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.2

No position

Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Multiplier: 10.42x
User PnL: $14

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.2%
Multiplier: 6.58x
User PnL: $13.5

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.41

No position

Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 11.1%
Multiplier: 9.01x
User PnL: $9.54

Yes position

Will Kimbal Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.4

Yes position

Will Patrick Reed finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $9.4

Yes position

Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.6

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.2

No position

Will the announcers say "Visa" during the Netherlands vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?

No 65% 13.9 shares
Will Level UP win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament

Yes 0.9% 20 shares
Will the announcers say "Throw In" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

No 7% 15 shares
Will the announcers say "Throw In" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

No 24% 5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on July 2?

Yes 2% 4 shares
Will the announcers say "Comeback" or "Come Back" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 43% 2.52 shares
Will the announcers say "Compact" during Netherlands vs Morocco?

Yes 35% 12 shares
Will the announcers say "Unbelievable" during Netherlands vs Morocco?

No 58% 11.77 shares
Will OG win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament

Yes 1.2% 1.1 shares
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 11?

No 3.6% 30 shares
Will L1GA TEAM win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament

Yes 1.1% 10 shares
Will "GOLDEN HOUR: Part.5 - ATEEZ" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 11?

No 11.4% 14.77 shares