No position
US defaults on debt by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $35.32
- Potential payout
- $36.26
- Potential profit
- $0.94
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.87
Polymarket Trader
kokoyo
0xf31aa3f24333956f8d28de658de473729e955d22
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $50.31
- Realized PnL
- $20.26
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.99
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.95
No position
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Scroll airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Base airdrop by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Michelle Obama become Dem Nominee?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Hyperliquid exploit before February?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Kamala Harris drop out in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Base airdrop in Q1 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Japan wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes 6% 6 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes 6% 6 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 38% 6 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 25% 8 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes 21% 6 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 93% 7 shares
- US defaults on debt by 2027?No 95% 36.26 shares
- Will Trump resign in 2025?No 99.8% 33 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?No 99.9% 12.55 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2025?No 99.9% 80 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?No 99.1% 28.73 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2025?No 98% 100 shares