Polymarket Trader

sagesse

0xf34f7afc379ae96e8da4bb927cc03937f7afcf8e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $44.99
Realized PnL: $12.04
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $7.25
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $9.42
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $2.9

No position

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $16.67
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $8.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$2.67

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.64
Potential profit: $8.64
User PnL: -$1.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.63
Potential profit: $8.63
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.95
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.68
Potential payout: $5.68
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.15
Potential profit: $5.15
User PnL: -$4.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.95

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.44
Potential payout: $4.44
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.38

Yes position

Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.66

GIANTX position

Valorant: GIANTX vs Enterprise Esports - Map 1 Winner

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Up position

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 16, 9PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Under position

Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.61

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.33

Vacherot position

Mexican Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Coleman Wong

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Over position

Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Raptors

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.11

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.69

Enterprise Esports position

Valorant: GIANTX vs Enterprise Esports - Map 1 Winner

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Under position

US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Yes 88% 5.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Up 88% 5.65 shares
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 9PM ET

Up 88% 5.65 shares
US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5

Under 90% 5.53 shares
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?

Yes 83.6% 5.95 shares
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?

Yes 90% 4.44 shares
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 16?

Up 87% 5.74 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Yes 84% 5.95 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 16?

Yes 84% 5.15 shares
Valorant: GIANTX vs Enterprise Esports - Map 1 Winner

GIANTX 24% 8.69 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 25?

Yes 41% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Down 22% 8.56 shares