No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $35.06
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $0.94
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Polymarket Trader
kckdLA
0xf350473b50cc87c47106d6228c4dc1f91c0d737f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $96.82
- Realized PnL
- $502.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $32.88
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- $1.37
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $28.87
- Potential payout
- $28.89
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $2.87
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.81
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.01
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,600 on July 25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.01
Magomedov position
UFC Fight Night: Magomedov vs. Barriault
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.9
Ravens position
Bengals vs. Ravens
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.67
Prates position
Magny vs. Prates
Ends Nov 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.73
Yes position
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Will Leicester win on 2024-11-23?
Ends Nov 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.74
Yes position
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.64
Yes position
Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.53
Celtics position
Nets vs. Celtics
Ends Nov 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.96
Yes position
Will Trump say "tax" 3 or more times during NBC interview?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.86
No position
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.61
Yes position
Will a Republican win Indiana Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.54
Cavaliers position
Nets vs. Cavaliers
Ends Nov 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.04
Yes position
Ripple above $1.69 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.59
No position
Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
No position
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
Yes position
Solana above $200 on November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
No position
Will Fulham win on 2024-12-08?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
No position
Will Leicester win on 2024-11-10?
Ends Nov 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be less than $170 on August 6?
Ends Aug 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.13
Yes position
Will Jabil (JBL) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 100.1 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 71% 16.9 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No 90% 28.89 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 58% 6.81 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 88% 6.82 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?No 88% 29.55 shares
- Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?No 96.5% 36.27 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 96.8% 65.08 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 66% 22.73 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown 81% 1.23 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown 78% 1.28 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No 76% 7.89 shares