Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.4%
- Current value
- $10.83K
- Potential payout
- $13.16K
- Potential profit
- $2.32K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Polymarket Trader
StanleyHo
0xf36017d62512f0c61d9ebfc31545b959b108ad1f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.89K
- Realized PnL
- $569.43
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- User PnL
- -$382
No position
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $743.32
- Potential profit
- $743.32
- User PnL
- -$554.73
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.7%
- Current value
- $51.38
- Potential payout
- $291.11
- Potential profit
- $239.73
- Multiplier
- 5.67x
- User PnL
- -$43.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.82
Yes position
Trump tariffs on Mexico in effect by May 1?
Ends May 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.13
Yes position
Will LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.74
No position
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.76
No position
New Trump tariffs by Friday?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 70% 13,156.88 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 31.7% 20,091.88 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 28.9% 11,192.51 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 32.5% 31,575.5 shares
- S&P 500 all time high by December 31?No 74.6% 743.32 shares
- Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?Yes 51% 554.73 shares
- US government shutdown by October 1?No 22% 1,736.36 shares
- Will LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Yes 85% 289 shares
- Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July?No 97% 116.27 shares
- Trump tariffs on Mexico in effect by May 1?Yes 49% 341.43 shares
- New Trump tariffs by Friday?No 90.1% 110.99 shares
- Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July?No 86% 116.28 shares