Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $428.57
- Potential profit
- $428.57
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
STRATOSDM
0xf36a94148d0bc9e88123990e3ab2b88bef50ef78
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.01
- Realized PnL
- -$67.09
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $33.51
- Potential payout
- $231.07
- Potential profit
- $197.57
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$42.94
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.9
- Potential profit
- $126.9
- User PnL
- -$3.68
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $105
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.42
- Potential profit
- $100.42
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $50.67
- Potential profit
- $48.67
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $42.81
- Potential profit
- $40.3
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump dance on May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will Donald Trump dance on May 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Martins/Sierra position
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Martins/Sierra vs Kempen/Klepac
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.46
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "No No No" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.5% 50.67 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.7% 42.81 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.7% 428.57 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 2.9% 126.9 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 5% 100.42 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 2.9% 105 shares
- Will Donald Trump dance on May 31, 2026?Yes 0.2% 12.5 shares
- Will Trump say "No No No" this week?Yes 1% 16.18 shares
- Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?Yes 0.1% 220.77 shares
- Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?Yes 1.3% 220.77 shares
- Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?Yes 1.1% 259.2 shares
- Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?Yes 0.2% 175.5 shares