Polymarket Trader

0xf3B1eF3e491A377AA5F5c0F9EeaD1785E13f2741-1772268740229

0xf3b1ef3e491a377aa5f5c0f9eead1785e13f2741

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $37.3
Realized PnL: $7.02
Win rate: 85.7%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.59
Potential profit: $106.59
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.31
Potential profit: $84.31
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 23.8%
Current value: $10.83
Potential payout: $45.59
Potential profit: $34.76
Multiplier: 4.21x
User PnL: -$4.17

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $13.99
Potential payout: $43.72
Potential profit: $29.73
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$1.01

No position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.26
Potential profit: $24.26
User PnL: -$10.5

No position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $21.28
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $8.63
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$1.37

No position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $3.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.15
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$1.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.23

No position

Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 24.9% 16.06 shares
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Yes 33% 15.15 shares
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Yes 87.9% 11.32 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 24.9% 4.02 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 22.3% 22.39 shares
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 6% 83.33 shares
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 62.3% 11.23 shares
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 60% 1 shares
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Yes 56% 10 shares
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?

No 87.7% 11.4 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 95% 10.75 shares
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

No 47% 21.28 shares