Polymarket Trader

0xf3b550c43f97a626049036e6F6DbB1f9413e4c72-1768771929441

0xf3b550c43f97a626049036e6f6dbb1f9413e4c72

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.7
Realized PnL: $9.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.91K
Potential profit: $11.91K
User PnL: -$249.99

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $6.04
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$4.96

No position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.34
Potential profit: $833.34
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $426.67
Potential profit: $426.67
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $378.68
Potential profit: $378.68
User PnL: -$9.83

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $335.83
Potential profit: $335.83
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $249.07
Potential profit: $247.7
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$31.63

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $10.11
Potential payout: $229.76
Potential profit: $219.65
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$12.5

Belal Muhammad position

UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.22
Potential profit: $185.22
User PnL: -$64

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159.3
Potential profit: $159.3
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $151.52
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.46
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.46

Nikolay Veretennikov position

UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $20.41
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $12.86
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 30?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.41
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $11.12
Potential profit: $10.95
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.83

No position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.53
User PnL: -$1

Melsik Baghdasaryan position

UFC Fight Night: Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $3.34
Potential profit: $3.27
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94K

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.25K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $593.84

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.93

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288.13

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.01

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.58

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242.22

Yes position

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.53

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.04

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $172.22

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.13

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.92

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.34

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.45

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.54

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 22, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.85

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.43

Charles Oliveira position

UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.8

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.19

Movsar Evloev position

UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.58

Dooho Choi position

UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.5

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Yes 9.8% 2,347.55 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 2,000 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?

Yes 2.2% 45.45 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 8.3% 5.18 shares
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 11% 4.76 shares
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 16% 125 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 44% 136.36 shares
UFC Fight Night: Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Main Card)

Melsik Baghdasaryan 20% 5 shares
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)

Kevin Borjas 99% 43.75 shares
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)

Kevin Borjas 16% 43.75 shares
UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Prelims)

Gaston Bolaños 99% 108.69 shares
UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Prelims)

Gaston Bolaños 46% 108.7 shares