MayWeatherstappen

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $5.16
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $37.84
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$3.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $1.34
Potential payout: $41.96
Potential profit: $40.62
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.16
Potential profit: $40.16
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.56
Potential payout: $39.01
Potential profit: $37.45
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $1.31
Potential payout: $34.14
Potential profit: $32.83
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.6
Potential profit: $33.6
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $22.25
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $22
User PnL: -$2.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.02
Potential profit: $21.02
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will June 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $20.81
Potential profit: $20.47
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $2.66
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $16.34
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $16.2
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $1.44
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $16.56
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $16.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $16.95
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $14.72
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.38
Potential profit: $14.38
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$2.66

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $11.83
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $2.17
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $4.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $7.52
Potential payout: $13.67
Potential profit: $6.15
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $5.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 15?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $76.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C or higher on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 15?