Polymarket Trader

LuciferVIP

0xf3d57ae5b973033263a94a042907b30fbac12413

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.71
Realized PnL: $223
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $7.16
Potential payout: $136.36
Potential profit: $129.2
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: $4.16

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $68.82
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$7.39

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $5.29
Potential payout: $70.59
Potential profit: $65.29
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$6.71

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $5.09
Potential payout: $59.89
Potential profit: $54.8
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$2.91

Rico position

Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.02
Potential profit: $17.02
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $2.56
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $10.95
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: -$2.44

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $12.82
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.45

Yes position

Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.08

Yes position

Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.8

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.33

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.45

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.09

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.69

Yes position

Will Trump say "Bunker buster" during his NATO speech?

Ends Jun 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.03

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.55

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

No position

Iran strike on Israel by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.64

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.43

Yes position

Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.37

No position

Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Yes position

Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?

Yes 2.2% 45.45 shares
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?

Yes 2.2% 90.91 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 14% 21.43 shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No 84% 12.98 shares
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Rico 10% 40 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 16.6% 27.77 shares
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 99.9% 30.83 shares
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 99.9% 15.38 shares
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 99.9% 57.14 shares
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 65% 15.38 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 47% 17.02 shares