Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $156.63
- Potential payout
- $164.79
- Potential profit
- $8.16
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $27.93
Polymarket Trader
larry-li
@LarryLi2000118
0xf3d8b539e1586205eeec75d6a468377768cbbe6e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $270.03
- Realized PnL
- $90.55
- Win rate
- 95%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $84.39
- Potential payout
- $97.56
- Potential profit
- $13.17
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $4.39
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $2.59
- Potential payout
- $20.62
- Potential profit
- $18.03
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $9.14
- Potential payout
- $14.39
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $9.43
- Potential profit
- $8.74
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $6.45
- Potential payout
- $6.98
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $6.21
- Potential profit
- $5.03
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $5.95
- Potential profit
- $5.14
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $5.07
- Potential payout
- $5.24
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.09
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.04
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.28
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.15
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.73
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.81
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
North Korea missile launch by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang say "Agent" or "Agentic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 10+ times at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 66.5% 14.39 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 82% 97.56 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.7% 10.31 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.7% 10.31 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.6% 9.43 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 6.21 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.8% 5.95 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 83.2% 107.77 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 55.4% 54.15 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 82% 120.73 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 68.4% 57.02 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 90% 6.67 shares