Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
shadow-hunter
0xf3ea8df38457f49480b6451d7122a4f9089a6df1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$200.84
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.25
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.25
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.8
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.27
N
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.42x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Yes position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.68
Yes position
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.2%
- Multiplier
- 4.14x
- User PnL
- -$3.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$6.32
No position
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.73
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$16.83
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.29
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- -$21.18
No position
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33.03
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$48.93
No position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$77.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETUp 39% 12.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETUp 79% 1.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETUp 77% 1.3 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETUp 75% 1.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETDown 84% 0.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETDown 84% 5.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETDown 84% 5.95 shares
- Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 1.1% 1,045.28 shares
- Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 1.2% 159 shares
- Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 1.2% 479 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 77.6% 1,265.99 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 78.1% 410.64 shares