N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.4%
- Current value
- $77.01
- Potential payout
- $190.62
- Potential profit
- $113.61
- Multiplier
- 2.48x
- User PnL
- $37.78
Polymarket Trader
dgsgsrggsrg
0xf3ed3ddd8e2a0ae384f01165030a2c5a414b7928
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $77.01
- Realized PnL
- $195.88
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.71
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.51
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.47
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.05
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.24
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.21
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.71
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.84
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.11
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.66
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 23.4% 20.62 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 92.9% 8 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 4.2% 100 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14?No 4.2% 30 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 9% 250 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 39.4% 25.9 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 89.4% 242.07 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?No 98.2% 223.91 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 1% 312.36 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.9% 218.66 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.5% 1,022.07 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 49.7% 926.31 shares