Polymarket Trader

chicken-duckwin

0xf3ef5450cd3afa287180005dcb202196f5d55400

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $920.74
Realized PnL: $1.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $603.19
Potential payout: $613.62
Potential profit: $10.43
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.98

Brazil position

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $245.87
Potential payout: $249.61
Potential profit: $3.74
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.49

Colombia position

Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210.47
Potential profit: $210.47
User PnL: -$130

Yes position

Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shots

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.98
Potential profit: $154.98
User PnL: -$108.48

Yes position

Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $66.7
Potential payout: $67.99
Potential profit: $1.29
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.75

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Egypt position

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.61

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.92

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on November 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.98

Belgium position

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.92

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.72

TYLOO position

Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.7

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102,000 on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.24

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 30?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.05

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on October 30?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.39

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.24

England position

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.11

France position

Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.59

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 30?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.54

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.45

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.44

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 3?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

9z position

Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.32

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.88

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October 30?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.94

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 3?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.66

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.54

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 3?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.68

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.86

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Yes 98% 347.89 shares
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Yes 97.4% 25 shares
Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?

No 96.1% 5 shares
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Yes 97% 154.47 shares
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Argentina 87.5% 120 shares
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner

FaZe 64% 31.25 shares
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner

9z 19.8% 200 shares
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner

9z 42% 200 shares
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs

TYLOO 99.9% 228 shares
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs

TYLOO 99.9% 780 shares
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs

9z 70.6% 147.18 shares
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs

TYLOO 90% 213.65 shares