Polymarket Trader

tbkboss

0xf3f2e9aa5426213cbb7866314cf8ae8ccb5ac0eb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.37
Realized PnL: $307.94
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.62
Potential profit: $88.62
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.62
Potential profit: $87.62
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.26
Potential profit: $61.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.93
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.93

Yes position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.18
Potential profit: $49.18
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 600 and 629 times August 29–September 5?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.41
Potential profit: $37.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.08
Potential profit: $34.08
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 350–374 times August 15–August 22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $5.52
Potential payout: $29.94
Potential profit: $24.42
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.99
Potential profit: $28.99
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will "Toy Story 5" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $20.47
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$3.73

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 360 and 389 times August 29–September 5?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.16
Potential profit: $17.16
User PnL: -$3.78

Yes position

Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Real Madrid CF?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.81
Potential profit: $16.81
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 1350 and 1399 times September 1–30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on July 25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.55

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.72

Yes position

Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.29

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.21

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $121K August 4–10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.22

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.49

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 1PM ET

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.55

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120K and $121K on August 12 at 5PM ET?

Ends Aug 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.76

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 455–469 times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.75

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $120K on July 30?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.31

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.86

Under position

Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.53

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 500–524 times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.17

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on July 25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.32

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4000 on August 8 at 5PM ET?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.32

Yes position

Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 1 - 1 Atalanta BC?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

Yes position

Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11AM ET

Ends Jul 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.58

No position

Will Trump say "Sleepy" or "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.57

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45 million views on day 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.32

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4PM ET

Ends Aug 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 11AM ET

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.99

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Yes 24% 25.8 shares
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

No 94% 9.43 shares
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Croatia?

Yes 14% 7.14 shares
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Under 53% 3.77 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 27% 11.11 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Yes 19.4% 25.8 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 43% 4.65 shares
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 38.8% 12.89 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

No 23% 21.74 shares
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score

Yes 38% 7.89 shares
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia?

Yes 15% 13.33 shares
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Over 55% 5.45 shares