Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Current value
- $24.69
- Potential payout
- $26.88
- Potential profit
- $2.19
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Polymarket Trader
Pemberton
0xf3f6baf184845233d8f32219776bfc2dfde8033b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.69
- Realized PnL
- $5.7
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Imperial Academy position
Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.81
- Potential profit
- $26.81
- User PnL
- -$9.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.86
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Trump say "Finish the Job" this week? (March 22)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $210 end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 93% 26.88 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 82.5% 27.86 shares
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 97.8% 24.46 shares
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.1% 24.46 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in May?No 96.8% 25.43 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in May?No 98.3% 25.43 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes 95.6% 26.16 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes 91.7% 26.16 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 89% 27.17 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 92% 27.17 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 95% 26.04 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 96% 26.04 shares