No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.97K
- Potential profit
- $33.97K
- User PnL
- -$760.04
Polymarket Trader
jd9jdaij
0xf3fb23c98cb720442dc0f019a8cadc5b132eb340
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.35K
- Realized PnL
- $9.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.76K
- Potential payout
- $9.03K
- Potential profit
- $7.27K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$371.79
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.5K
- Potential profit
- $6.5K
- User PnL
- -$202.99
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.34K
- Potential profit
- $5.34K
- User PnL
- -$568.66
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$250
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $353.79
- Potential payout
- $3.37K
- Potential profit
- $3.02K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$464.1
Yes position
Will the White House Press Secretary say "CDC" or "WHO" during the next White House Press Briefing?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.17K
- Potential profit
- $3.17K
- User PnL
- -$645.26
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.15K
- Potential profit
- $3.15K
- User PnL
- -$598.23
Yes position
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.99K
- Potential profit
- $2.99K
- User PnL
- -$47.83
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.42K
- Potential profit
- $2.42K
- User PnL
- -$71.86
Yes position
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$36.16
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$233.6
Yes position
Will Trump say "Where is" 3+ times during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- User PnL
- -$55.63
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$87.64
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$100
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$140
Yes position
Enhanced Games: Mitchell Hooper Heaviest Deadlift Over 500 Kg?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $914.6
- Potential profit
- $914.6
- User PnL
- -$9.15
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $895.95
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$8.52
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $888.98
- Potential profit
- $888.98
- User PnL
- -$80.4
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $879.2
- Potential profit
- $879.2
- User PnL
- -$475.42
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $233.1
- Potential payout
- $818.19
- Potential profit
- $585.09
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$12.35
Yes position
Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $786.23
- Potential profit
- $786.23
- User PnL
- -$163.69
Yes position
Will Andril Govorov win the 50m freestyle at the 2026 Enhanced Games?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $672.66
- Potential profit
- $672.66
- User PnL
- -$2.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $932.29
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $651.13
Yes position
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $466.83
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $406.33
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.88
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.59
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.73
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.54
Yes position
Will Kristian Gkolomeev win the 50m freestyle at the 2026 Enhanced Games?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.66
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 21-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $178.7
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $169.12
No position
Will Sam Altman say "Browser" during TBPN appearance on October 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.65
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.2
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 21-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $103.69
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.11
No position
Will 1+ weightlifting world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.85
Yes position
Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83
Yes position
Will GPT-4.5 be released by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.31
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $75
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.48
No position
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 21-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 39% 2,499.94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 20% 2,500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 2.6% 10,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 2.3% 3,845.24 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 28.2% 1,390.51 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 27% 273.94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 25% 6,532.47 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 73.8% 5,053.66 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 63.2% 1,684.55 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 48.3% 2,246.07 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 12.6% 800 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 23.2% 2,286.29 shares