Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $15.45
- Potential payout
- $183.98
- Potential profit
- $168.53
- Multiplier
- 11.90x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Polymarket Trader
fred5k
0xf4193868f769301f8c046382fd34fe0e1efa5f89
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $333.55
- Realized PnL
- $3.87K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $149.93
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $137.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.98
- Potential profit
- $119.98
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $109
- Potential profit
- $107.15
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$10.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $12.54
- Potential payout
- $109
- Potential profit
- $96.47
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $18.33
- Potential payout
- $107.82
- Potential profit
- $89.49
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $8.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$11.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92
- Potential profit
- $92
- User PnL
- -$11.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $11.5
- Potential payout
- $92
- Potential profit
- $80.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $9.6
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $70.4
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $14.43
- Potential payout
- $78
- Potential profit
- $63.57
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $3.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.99
- Potential profit
- $74.99
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $5.61
- Potential payout
- $66
- Potential profit
- $60.39
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$6.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $11.97
- Potential payout
- $62.99
- Potential profit
- $51.02
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $54
- User PnL
- -$11.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $53.87
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $41.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $3.81
- Potential payout
- $33.1
- Potential profit
- $29.29
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $14.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $5.7
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $10.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $6.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13.3
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $3.68
- Potential payout
- $14.42
- Potential profit
- $10.74
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $332
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 20?Yes 11% 19.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 20?Yes 23% 14.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 21?Yes 9% 58.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 20?Yes 18% 35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 20?Yes 11% 72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 19?Yes 14% 78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 19?Yes 22% 11.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 19?Yes 6.5% 9.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 19?Yes 13% 19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 19?Yes 19% 56.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?Yes 8% 60 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 20?Yes 15% 15.66 shares