Polymarket Trader

sebasRoa8888

0xf4386071dff87b276441448e3847428c9dcbb7b1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.15
Realized PnL: $1.04
Win rate: 63.2%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.15
Potential payout: $4.31K
Potential profit: $4.3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $203.31
Potential profit: $203.31
User PnL: -$4.03

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.83
Potential profit: $33.83
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.49
Potential profit: $28.49
User PnL: -$1.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.44
Potential profit: $28.44
User PnL: -$1.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.59
Potential profit: $7.59
User PnL: -$1.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.59
Potential profit: $7.59
User PnL: -$1.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.33
Potential profit: $6.33
User PnL: -$1.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.77
Potential profit: $5.77
User PnL: -$1.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.27
Potential profit: $4.27
User PnL: -$1.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.09
Potential profit: $4.09
User PnL: -$1.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.71
Potential profit: $3.71
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $3.64
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$1.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 4,306.67 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 6,680.5 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 1.2% 27.77 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 1,563.33 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 36% 27.78 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 2,142.17 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 6.1% 14.28 shares
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 2,500 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 475 shares
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 37% 10.52 shares