Polymarket Trader

0xF45326FBB14ac2DF6544457a83cF7FE37506502A-1777406670393

0xf45326fbb14ac2df6544457a83cf7fe37506502a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $25.23
Realized PnL: $81.09
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $14.75
Potential payout: $86.52
Potential profit: $71.77
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $4.17
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $29.17
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.83

No position

Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.79
Potential profit: $15.79
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.54
Potential profit: $13.54
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.69
Potential profit: $12.69
User PnL: -$6.5

Australia position

Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.21
Potential profit: $10.21
User PnL: -$3.5

United States position

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $6.85
Potential profit: $5.79
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.35
Potential profit: $6.35
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $2.28
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $3.97
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.28

Portugal position

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $2.98
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $1.79
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.26
Potential profit: $2.26
User PnL: -$1.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.09

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.64

Paraguay position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.68

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.37

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.09

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.74

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.69

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Norway position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Portugal position

Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07

Norway position

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Mexico position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Novak Djokovic position

Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 14.6% 6.85 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 63% 4.76 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Yes 32% 6.25 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 97.4% 14.74 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 48% 6.25 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 68% 2.94 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 7.59 shares
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

United States 53% 9.43 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 72% 5.56 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.9% 29.59 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Norway 99.9% 3.03 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance AND Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

93.9% 5.75 shares