Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $20.38
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $748.85
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $10.39
Polymarket Trader
0xf45c...6a48
0xf45cd284ed8c5886da88807f2b5a17871ee46a48
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $141.87
- Realized PnL
- $8.37
- Win rate
- 65.2%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $22.69
- Potential payout
- $116.35
- Potential profit
- $93.66
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $3.77
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $4.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95.75
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$5.75
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.1%
- Current value
- $24.68
- Potential payout
- $44.03
- Potential profit
- $19.35
- Multiplier
- 1.78x
- User PnL
- -$5.32
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $9.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $30.6
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 67.9%
- Current value
- $10.82
- Potential payout
- $15.95
- Potential profit
- $5.13
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $10.15
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $4.56
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $11.6
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $8.29
- Potential payout
- $12.66
- Potential profit
- $4.37
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.71
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $12.35
- Potential profit
- $2.41
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $9.67
- Potential payout
- $10.99
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $26.23
Boston Red Sox position
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.98
Miami Marlins position
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87
Colorado Rockies position
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18
Washington Nationals position
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.22
Pittsburgh Pirates position
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
Yes position
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Cincinnati Reds position
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $1.5
$140 position
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.3%
- Multiplier
- 5.80x
- User PnL
- $1.42
Miami Marlins position
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
St. Louis Cardinals position
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.45
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.51
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$9.75
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Colorado Rockies position
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Colorado Rockies position
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta BravesSt. Louis Cardinals 96% 10.42 shares
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado RockiesMiami Marlins 91% 10.99 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 0.2% 277.12 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 2% 12.34 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 94% 10.64 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 81% 12.35 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No 81% 12.35 shares
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.3% 769.23 shares
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies 68% 14.71 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 23% 50 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado RockiesMiami Marlins 53% 18.87 shares