Polymarket Trader

ChachoCL

0xf487b91831d8c4d78660ff62fff648729f779262

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $28.32
Realized PnL: $151.49
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.45K
Potential profit: $4.45K
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225.89
Potential profit: $225.89
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $4.77
Potential payout: $93.74
Potential profit: $88.97
Multiplier: 19.65x
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.53
Potential profit: $92.53
User PnL: -$31.98

No position

Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $56.06
Potential profit: $55.97
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.92

Yes position

Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.51
Potential profit: $43.51
User PnL: -$3.41

Yes position

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $32.27
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$3.93

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.58
Potential profit: $30.58
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.8
Potential profit: $23.8
User PnL: -$4.97

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $11.49
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $3.44
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $6.49

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $3.07
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $8.3
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $7.84
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $1.96
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $2.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.65
Potential profit: $9.65
User PnL: -$4.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.65
Potential profit: $9.65
User PnL: -$4.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.42
Potential profit: $6.42
User PnL: -$2.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.28
Potential profit: $6.28
User PnL: -$2.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.03
Potential profit: $6.03
User PnL: -$2.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.03
Potential profit: $6.03
User PnL: -$2.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.91
Potential profit: $5.91
User PnL: -$2.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.91
Potential profit: $5.91
User PnL: -$2.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.79
Potential profit: $5.79
User PnL: -$2.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.79
Potential profit: $5.79
User PnL: -$2.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.24

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.28

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

No position

TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.36

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $7.02

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.85

No position

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $6.48

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48.5%
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $3.45

Yes position

Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 8% 250 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 33.5% 14.93 shares
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 47% 50 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

No 25% 40 shares
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

No 55% 5.46 shares
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

No 56% 33 shares
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?

Yes 1% 101 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Down 51% 9.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Down 50% 9.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Down 51% 9.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Down 57% 8.51 shares
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?

Yes 2.2% 225.89 shares