Polymarket Trader

Astro0y

@FlapDandel

0xf49e4f7ef3ded0b201182f3ad8f676e8945f2137

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $866.98
Realized PnL: $873.39
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $847.52
Potential payout: $979.79
Potential profit: $132.27
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $83.25

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $19.46
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $8.54
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$0.7

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.84
Potential profit: $26.84
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$7.05

Yes position

Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.6

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.74

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.97

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.39

No position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.96

No position

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.38

No position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.83

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.72

No position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.93

No position

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.4

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.88

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.52

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.35

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.94

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.7

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.54

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.82

No position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.22

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.1

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $11.01

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.37

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.06

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 4?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.77

No position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.57

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

No 99.9% 500 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 42% 5 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 77% 5 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 72% 28 shares
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

BetBoom Team 25% 5 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 60% 10 shares
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 36% 10 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 70% 37.09 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 99.3% 1,400 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 31% 10 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 99.4% 1,200 shares
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

9z 68% 20 shares