Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $13.51
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
HalcyonWisp
0xf4a4dfdf3ab3462488be957e39d49f9e15f0d84a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.87
- Realized PnL
- $360.56
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.26
- Potential profit
- $9.26
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.18
- Potential payout
- $9.2
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $4.74
- Potential payout
- $8.17
- Potential profit
- $3.43
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$2.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $3.81
- Potential payout
- $7.41
- Potential profit
- $3.59
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$2.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $2.36
- Potential payout
- $4.29
- Potential profit
- $1.93
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
No position
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $4
- Potential payout
- $4.02
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $2.44
- Potential profit
- $1.66
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Spain position
Spread: Spain (-2.5)
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.53
Over position
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Celtics position
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.58
Under position
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.38
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 3?Yes 41% 2.44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 3?No 81% 7.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 3?No 87% 9.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?Yes 70% 4.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 3?No 83% 8.17 shares
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain 47% 425.53 shares
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5Over 50% 200 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on May 17?Yes 37% 13.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETUp 54% 9.26 shares
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics 56% 41.12 shares
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under 52% 33.15 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?No 99.5% 7.04 shares