Polymarket Trader

0xf4bf...a1bd

0xf4bf4472dc94c099a5c9a96652c70a80b42ea1bd

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $1.01
Realized PnL: $15.85
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.08

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 40.1%
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: $0.04

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Ghana?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 83% 1.2 shares
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Ghana?

Yes 10% 9.09 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 4?

Yes 14.3% 7 shares
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 99.9% 9.09 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 27% 3.7 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 3?

No 24.4% 1.33 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 3?

No 75% 1.33 shares
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Ghana?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3?

Up 77% 1.3 shares
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?

Yes 28% 3.57 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 45.8% 2.26 shares