Polymarket Trader

0xF4C4f84e43974079cD574bDC5c9B9f798C2EfAF0-1781542164253

0xf4c4f84e43974079cd574bdc5c9b9f798c2efaf0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $87.17
Realized PnL: $60.2
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $182.69
Potential profit: $182.69
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $147.06
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $114.44
Potential profit: $114.16
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$9.71

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.93
Potential profit: $113.93
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15.9%
Current value: $16.06
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $84.94
Multiplier: 6.29x
User PnL: $6.06

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.25
Potential profit: $92.25
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $7.73
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $83.18
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$12.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $8.75
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $74.58
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$1.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.5
Potential profit: $67.5
User PnL: -$24.98

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $8.43
Potential payout: $61.73
Potential profit: $53.3
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $11.05
Potential payout: $59.88
Potential profit: $48.83
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $13.42
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $39.21
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $3.42

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $43.67
Potential profit: $43.12
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$9.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.17
Potential profit: $31.17
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.77
Potential profit: $21.77
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $17.94
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$8.33

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $2.82
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $13.31
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$7.18

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.1%
Current value: $11.46
Potential payout: $14.14
Potential profit: $2.68
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $1.46

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $4.85
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Down 37% 67.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Down 93% 26.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Up 68% 7.35 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Up 67% 7.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Up 67% 7.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Up 13.7% 182.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Up 50% 49.68 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes 22.9% 43.67 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 22% 90.91 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Up 99% 60.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Up 41% 60.98 shares