No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
Sunbe
0xf4c7a145c2266c13eb7f3c12928d3becd989def7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.95K
- Realized PnL
- $5.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $2.25K
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $381.5
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $49.54
No position
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $161.61
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $93.21
Yes position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.89K
- User PnL
- -$600
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $994.32
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $142.05
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$5.68
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $133.93
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $937.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.07
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $691.03
- Potential payout
- $789.75
- Potential profit
- $98.72
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $91.03
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $473.63
- Potential payout
- $751.79
- Potential profit
- $278.16
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$26.38
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $103.7
- Potential payout
- $740.74
- Potential profit
- $637.04
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$96.3
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $245
- Potential payout
- $485.14
- Potential profit
- $240.14
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $145
Yes position
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $59.07
- Potential payout
- $478.3
- Potential profit
- $419.23
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- $9.07
No position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $392.89
- Potential payout
- $454.21
- Potential profit
- $61.32
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $50.89
No position
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $311.8
- Potential payout
- $337.08
- Potential profit
- $25.28
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $11.8
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $89.71
- Potential payout
- $314.87
- Potential profit
- $225.17
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$10.29
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $279.5
- Potential profit
- $279.5
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $65.51
- Potential payout
- $247.22
- Potential profit
- $181.71
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $33.51
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $2.26
- Potential payout
- $237.43
- Potential profit
- $235.18
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$59
No position
Will Kevin O'Leary's Utah Data Center project break ground in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $117.64
- Potential payout
- $180.98
- Potential profit
- $63.34
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$42.36
Yes position
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $23.58
- Potential payout
- $138.71
- Potential profit
- $115.13
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$76.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $583.95
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.87
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.21
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.68
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.05
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.22
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.06
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.72
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $96.55
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $90.59
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.49
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.77
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.87
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.55
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.22
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $45.61
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.11
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.86
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.67
No position
Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 10.5% 478.3 shares
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 66.5% 751.78 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 99.9% 238.09 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 84% 238.1 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 16% 454.54 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No 99.2% 229.88 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.1% 100,000 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 86% 462.86 shares
- Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?Yes 90.3% 273.8 shares
- Will Kevin O'Leary's Utah Data Center project break ground in 2026?No 88.4% 180.98 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes 82% 121.95 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 66% 151.52 shares