Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $85.38
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $68.46
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $65.38
Polymarket Trader
0xf4ca...ffb0
0xf4ca98cd92d6085f50ce5c34259116271ac1ffb0
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $162.31
- Realized PnL
- -$15.92
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $76.92
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $66.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.52
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.39
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.33
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.8
Yes position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in December?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 13% 76.92 shares
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes 7.9% 63.29 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 13% 153.85 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 34% 41 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?Yes 22% 66 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 36% 41.67 shares
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in December?Yes 8.8% 225 shares
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in December?Yes 11.1% 225.23 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?Yes 12% 66.67 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 13% 76.92 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No 20% 31 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No 8% 83.33 shares