Polymarket Trader

Laresgoiti

0xf4cf8ab1522664b7f7e0688b95425843bf0a1f03

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $240.63
Realized PnL: $8.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Dwayne Johnson win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $171.43
Potential payout: $267.86
Potential profit: $96.43
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $21.43

Yes position

Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Jon M. Chu win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.11
Potential profit: $175.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Derek Cianfrance win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.55
Potential profit: $164.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Park Chan-wook win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.07
Potential profit: $103.07
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Yorgos Lanthimos win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.5
Potential profit: $100.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.04
Potential profit: $98.04
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.13
Potential profit: $78.13
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Guillermo del Toro win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.16
Potential profit: $74.16
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.67
Potential profit: $69.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.74
Potential profit: $63.74
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.11
Potential profit: $61.11
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $49.42
Potential payout: $58.14
Potential profit: $8.72
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Cynthia Erivo win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 2 Mexico?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $19.78
Potential payout: $44.45
Potential profit: $24.67
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 2 Mexico?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Mexico leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.54
Potential profit: $40.54
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.14
Potential profit: $40.14
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Trump position

Who will win young men?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07K

Yes position

Bitcoin above $84,000 on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $601.62

No position

Will Trump sign a bill into law in his first week?

Ends Jan 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $507.95

Yes position

Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $467.5

Yes position

Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $366.36

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Mar 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $349.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344.78

Yes position

Pavel Durov released in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $335.15

Yes position

Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 41-42°F on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300.05

Yes position

Will Donald Trump issue 25-49 executive orders in his first week?

Ends Jan 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $294.42

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $83000 and $85000 on Mar 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $285.74

Yes position

Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.97

Yes position

Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.91

Yes position

Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $253.25

Yes position

Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?

Ends Mar 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225

Yes position

Will LA wildfires burn 40-50k acres by Sunday?

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.29

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Apr 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198

Yes position

Venezuela opposition leader Machado released by Monday?

Ends Jan 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.87

Yes position

Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $83000 and $85000 on Mar 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $165.86

No position

Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 39-40°F on February 16?

Ends Feb 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Yes 42% 116.27 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Yes 43% 23.26 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 95.2% 27.02 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 77% 25.97 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Yes 43% 93.02 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 45% 44.44 shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No 93% 15.62 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 56% 267.86 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 32% 78.13 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 6% 33.33 shares
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 7% 71.43 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 36% 27.78 shares