Polymarket Trader

astr0bot

0xf4d55bc4839c7b22fa44d01c60666227210966e1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.02K
Realized PnL: $22.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $16.25
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.48K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$3.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$62.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.52
Potential profit: $999.52
User PnL: -$29.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $425.15
Potential payout: $739.39
Potential profit: $314.24
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $34.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $275.78
Potential payout: $735.4
Potential profit: $459.63
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $26.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $3.2
Potential payout: $710
Potential profit: $706.81
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$7.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $631.71
Potential profit: $630.76
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$8.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $11.89
Potential payout: $579.9
Potential profit: $568.01
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$21.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $48.9
Potential payout: $514.74
Potential profit: $465.84
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$28.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $100.54
Potential payout: $346.7
Potential profit: $246.16
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $39.6

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $329.96
Potential profit: $329.96
User PnL: -$74.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $65.93
Potential payout: $321.59
Potential profit: $255.66
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $3.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $306.22
Potential profit: $306.07
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.01

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $49
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $151
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $38.41
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $5.54
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $24.47
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $3.86
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $26.15
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.01
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $4.1
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $25.91
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $2.21
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $27.8
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.24
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61K

Yes position

Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $984.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $945.31

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $818.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $783.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $779.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $776.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $740.97

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $726.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $719.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $709.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $636.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $622.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $587.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $547.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $541.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $538.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $525.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 14% 214 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 13.6% 302 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 1.3% 160 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 150 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 9.5% 246.54 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 8.7% 98.04 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 166.66 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 8.4% 128.13 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 7.8% 366.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 10% 298 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 70.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Up 72% 5.33 shares