MannerKno

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $304.38
Potential profit: $303.31
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $297.36
Potential profit: $297.36
User PnL: -$8.92

Yes position

Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $3.88
Potential payout: $209.85
Potential profit: $205.97
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$3.88

Yes position

Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $195.89
Potential profit: $195.5
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$3.49

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.91
Potential profit: $194.91
User PnL: -$12.45

Yes position

Will Databricks’ market cap be between $125B and $150B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $156.19
Potential profit: $156.11
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.45

Yes position

Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.74
Potential payout: $124.23
Potential profit: $122.49
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$1.71

Yes position

Will Scream 7 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.05
Potential profit: $107.05
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $103.24
Potential profit: $102.87
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.34

Yes position

Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $97
Potential profit: $96.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.16

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.8
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$7.8

No position

Will Infrared launch a token by September 30 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.12
Potential profit: $70.12
User PnL: -$3.37

Yes position

Will Paradex launch a token by December 31 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$2.94

No position

Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.88
Potential profit: $58.88
User PnL: -$16.31

Yes position

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $50.71
Potential profit: $50.44
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will Databricks’ market cap be between $175B and $200B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.98

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.48
Potential profit: $45.48
User PnL: -$2.76

Yes position

Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $39.82
Potential profit: $38.25
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$5.32

Yes position

Will Jamahl Mosley win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.1
Potential profit: $32.1
User PnL: -$1.03

No position

Will Infinex launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.47
Potential profit: $31.47
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.61
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Will Stripe’s market cap be less than $80B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.46

Yes position

Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.59
Potential profit: $29.59
User PnL: -$0.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.3

Yes position

Will Alex Caruso win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.6

No position

Will Infrared launch a token by December 31 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.36

Yes position

50-year GSE-eligible mortgages by December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.74

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.69

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will Databricks’ market cap be $250B or greater at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Abstract launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Modi out in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Kanye West / Ye be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Will Base launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1325.00 and 1349.99 on December 31 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Trump visit Gaza by Dec 31?