Yes position
Will ByteDance have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $836.21
- Potential profit
- $835.79
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Polymarket Trader
Artyos
0xf4f081600830392b761b8d5930393f33efb08646
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $286.79
- Realized PnL
- $940.37
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$78
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$6.8
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $12.66
- Potential payout
- $202.5
- Potential profit
- $189.84
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$44.84
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $190.2
- Potential profit
- $189.54
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Y
Yes position
Will Nikolaj Ehlers score the most goals in a single game during the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup Finals?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.01
- Potential profit
- $130.01
- User PnL
- -$3.9
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $129.29
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- User PnL
- $8.38
Y
Yes position
Will Ivan Barbashev score the most goals in a single game during the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup Finals?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $15.65
- Potential payout
- $115.9
- Potential profit
- $100.25
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $2.9
Y
Yes position
Will Logan Stankoven score the most goals in a single game during the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup Finals?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$35.7
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.35
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$13.35
Yes position
Will Google have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.2
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.75–$2.00 in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $90.41
- Potential profit
- $88.78
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $5.2
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $74.8
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $79.32
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$4.12
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $74.85
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $64.06
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$6.21
Yes position
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $61.79
- Potential profit
- $61.17
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.99
- Potential profit
- $56.99
- User PnL
- -$20.02
No position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $24.55
- Potential payout
- $50.1
- Potential profit
- $25.55
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $45.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $4.75
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.25
Y
Yes position
Will Pavel Dorofeyev score the most goals in a single game during the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup Finals?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $47.65
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $2.35
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $14.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say 'trans' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.75
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- $125
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.6
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.2
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.05
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.25
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.5
Kings position
Knicks vs. Kings
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.56
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.62
N
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during Wisconsin events?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Warriors position
Warriors vs. Timberwolves
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.4
No position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.92
Kings position
Rockets vs. Kings
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.41
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.97
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.3
Sharks position
Sharks vs. Kings
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.25
Trail Blazers position
Rockets vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during Coast Guard event?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.3
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Knicks position
Knicks vs. 76ers
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 60% 13 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 56% 15 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 57% 5 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 56% 13.75 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 63% 20 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes 53% 12 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?No 24% 24 shares
- Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 29% 5 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes 11% 115.9 shares
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 4 Anchors and Ilmeria (BO3) - The International North America Closed Qualifier PlayoffsGamerLegion 92% 7 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No 78% 8 shares
- Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?Yes 99.7% 30 shares